Avoid Hayworth Hysteria
Okay, I see from a very recent post on Daily Kos, that an individual is beginning to get a bit worried about an election theft in CD-5. It isn't going to happen, and here is why.
First of all, Helen Purcell has been the County Recorder for many years and has been consistently fair. Secondly, there are observers and individual volunteers that count these ballots present from both Political Parties. There is no room for funny business.
In addition, the ballot numbers being tossed around (like 200,000, etc...) are the total absentee and provisional ballots outstanding for all of Maricopa County, and yeah, while we are out here in the desert, Maricopa County is one big place (4th largest County in America). Six out of Eight Arizona Congressional Districts have ballots outstanding from Maricopa County. CD5 does not boast the largest population percentage in Maricopa County.
Estimates are that of the 200,000 ballots outstanding in Maricopa County, there would be about 30,000 to 40,000 that cover CD5 (rough estimate on my part, backed by recent media articles). Now, of these 40,000 ballots, several thousand have been counted in recent days. This is not done by hand necessarily, as Maricopa County uses optical scanners. Voters envelopes are verified, then opened and the ballots fed into machines and counted.
In the 3 days since the election, J D Hayworth has picked up a total of 149 votes and Harry Mitchell still leads by 5,783 votes as of this Friday night. At this rate, it is just about impossible that Hayworth will gain enough votes to make up this margin.
In addition, you can bet that the Democratic Party has people keeping a very close eye on the count.
Chill. Put pressure on Hayworth to concede, sure, but even if he doesn't and simply fades into the night, Harry Mitchell will be the next U S Congressman from CD5 in Arizona.
First of all, Helen Purcell has been the County Recorder for many years and has been consistently fair. Secondly, there are observers and individual volunteers that count these ballots present from both Political Parties. There is no room for funny business.
In addition, the ballot numbers being tossed around (like 200,000, etc...) are the total absentee and provisional ballots outstanding for all of Maricopa County, and yeah, while we are out here in the desert, Maricopa County is one big place (4th largest County in America). Six out of Eight Arizona Congressional Districts have ballots outstanding from Maricopa County. CD5 does not boast the largest population percentage in Maricopa County.
Estimates are that of the 200,000 ballots outstanding in Maricopa County, there would be about 30,000 to 40,000 that cover CD5 (rough estimate on my part, backed by recent media articles). Now, of these 40,000 ballots, several thousand have been counted in recent days. This is not done by hand necessarily, as Maricopa County uses optical scanners. Voters envelopes are verified, then opened and the ballots fed into machines and counted.
In the 3 days since the election, J D Hayworth has picked up a total of 149 votes and Harry Mitchell still leads by 5,783 votes as of this Friday night. At this rate, it is just about impossible that Hayworth will gain enough votes to make up this margin.
In addition, you can bet that the Democratic Party has people keeping a very close eye on the count.
Chill. Put pressure on Hayworth to concede, sure, but even if he doesn't and simply fades into the night, Harry Mitchell will be the next U S Congressman from CD5 in Arizona.
Please feel free to link to this, or post it on Daily Kos as I do not have an account or a diary over there.
Posted by
Squib aka TwistedOreo |
11:10 PM
footnote: Helen Purcell is a Democrat
Posted by
Squib aka TwistedOreo |
8:38 AM
Yeah I was freakin out because I thought it was B.S. that it would take 2 weeks to count the rest of the votes. I made a mistake about saying HP was a Republican and wrote that in my diary over at dKos. I kept screaming about this issue because I didn't want anyone to take their eyes off it and count it in our collection of wins (like we were all doing) yet. Thank you for the rest of the research and due diligence on this.
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